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Wall Street History

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06/25/2004

Another Market Junkie Special

Over the past 7 months I have done a number of pieces on
election years and market returns and following is another in this
series. [I also try to get ahead of the crowd.]

Returns for September and October, as measured by the S&P
500, as well as the total return for each year.

.Sept Oct Full Yr.

2000 -5.3 . -0.4 -9.1

1996 +5.6 . +2.7 .. +23.1

1992 +1.2 . +0.4 .. +7.7

1988 +4.2 . +2.7 .. +16.8

1984 +0.0* +0.3 ..... +6.3

1980 +2.8 . +1.9 .. +32.4

1976 +2.5 . -2.1 .. +23.8

1972 -0.4 . +1.1 .. +19.0

1968 +4.0 . +0.9 .. +11.1

1964 +3.0 . +1.0 .. +16.5

1960 -5.9 . -0.0* . +0.5

1956 -4.4 . +0.7 .. +6.6

1952 -1.8 . +0.2 .. +18.4

1948 -2.8 . +7.1 .. +5.5

*miniscule gains or losses.

Overall, since 1950 September has been the worst month in the
market for the S&P 500, Dow Jones and the Nasdaq. [For
Nasdaq since its inception in 1971.]

Sources:

Ibbotson Associates / 2004 Yearbook
2004 Stock Trader’s Almanac

Wall Street History will return July 9.

Brian Trumbore



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-06/25/2004-      
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Wall Street History

06/25/2004

Another Market Junkie Special

Over the past 7 months I have done a number of pieces on
election years and market returns and following is another in this
series. [I also try to get ahead of the crowd.]

Returns for September and October, as measured by the S&P
500, as well as the total return for each year.

.Sept Oct Full Yr.

2000 -5.3 . -0.4 -9.1

1996 +5.6 . +2.7 .. +23.1

1992 +1.2 . +0.4 .. +7.7

1988 +4.2 . +2.7 .. +16.8

1984 +0.0* +0.3 ..... +6.3

1980 +2.8 . +1.9 .. +32.4

1976 +2.5 . -2.1 .. +23.8

1972 -0.4 . +1.1 .. +19.0

1968 +4.0 . +0.9 .. +11.1

1964 +3.0 . +1.0 .. +16.5

1960 -5.9 . -0.0* . +0.5

1956 -4.4 . +0.7 .. +6.6

1952 -1.8 . +0.2 .. +18.4

1948 -2.8 . +7.1 .. +5.5

*miniscule gains or losses.

Overall, since 1950 September has been the worst month in the
market for the S&P 500, Dow Jones and the Nasdaq. [For
Nasdaq since its inception in 1971.]

Sources:

Ibbotson Associates / 2004 Yearbook
2004 Stock Trader’s Almanac

Wall Street History will return July 9.

Brian Trumbore