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10/15/2004

Crude Oil and Share Prices

With the price of crude continuing to rise, over 60% year to date
as of this writing, I thought we’d take a look at the relationship
between the price and the major energy indexes, the OSX (Oil
Service some representative components – Baker Hughes,
Halliburton, Nabors, Schlumberger) and XOI (Major
‘Integrateds’ such as – British Petroleum, ChevronTexaco,
Royal Dutch, Total and Exxon Mobil).

2004

Date ..Oil XOI .OSX

10/15 54.93 .699 ..119
10/8 ..53.31 .719 ..123
10/1 ..50.12 .707 ..123
9/24 ..48.88 .689 ..120
9/17 ..45.59 .673 ..117
9/10 ..42.83 .655 ..113
9/3 43.99 .651 ..114
8/27 ..43.18 .631 ..109
8/20 ..46.72 .629 ..107
8/13 ..46.03 .626 ..103
8/6 43.95 .621 ..104
7/30 ..43.80 .651 ..111
7/23 ..41.71 .637 ..109
7/16 ..41.30 .660 ..112
7/9 39.96 .648 ..108
7/2 38.39 .637 ..107
6/25 ..37.55 .637 ..107
6/18 ..39.00 .634 ..105
6/11 ..38.65 .610 99
6/4 38.49 .605 97
5/28 ..39.88 .604 98
5/21 ..39.93 .590 95
5/14 ..41.38 .609 98
5/7 39.93 .607 98
4/30 ..37.38 .604 ..103
4/23 ..36.46 .609 ..105
4/16 ..37.74 .614 ..106
4/9 37.14 .600 ..102
4/2 34.39 .589 ..101
3/26 ..35.73 .572 ..100
3/19 ..38.08 .590 ..105
3/12 ..36.19 .588 ..104
3/5 37.26 .604 ..109
2/27 ..36.16 .593 ..107
2/20 ..35.60 .581 ..104
2/13 ..34.56 .578 ..105
2/6 32.48 .561 99
1/30 ..33.05 .563 ..100
1/23 ..34.94 .577 ..102
1/16 ..35.07 .564 95
1/9 34.31 .565 98
1/2 32.52 .563 93

12/31/03 32.52 .562 .93

12/31/02 31.20 .446 .86

12/31/03-10/8/04

Oil ..+64%
XOI +28
OSX...+32

12/31/02-12/31/03

Oil ..+4%
XOI +26
OSX...+8

Of course earnings growth and expectations are still prime
factors in determining share prices, and thus the indexes as well
as the direction of crude itself.

Notes: Prices for 6/11 and 4/9 reflect the day before due to
Reagan funeral and Good Friday. Oil futures market closed
1/2/04, stocks open.

Sources: My own database, Yahoo Finance.

Wall Street History returns October 22.

Brian Trumbore



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-10/15/2004-      
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Wall Street History

10/15/2004

Crude Oil and Share Prices

With the price of crude continuing to rise, over 60% year to date
as of this writing, I thought we’d take a look at the relationship
between the price and the major energy indexes, the OSX (Oil
Service some representative components – Baker Hughes,
Halliburton, Nabors, Schlumberger) and XOI (Major
‘Integrateds’ such as – British Petroleum, ChevronTexaco,
Royal Dutch, Total and Exxon Mobil).

2004

Date ..Oil XOI .OSX

10/15 54.93 .699 ..119
10/8 ..53.31 .719 ..123
10/1 ..50.12 .707 ..123
9/24 ..48.88 .689 ..120
9/17 ..45.59 .673 ..117
9/10 ..42.83 .655 ..113
9/3 43.99 .651 ..114
8/27 ..43.18 .631 ..109
8/20 ..46.72 .629 ..107
8/13 ..46.03 .626 ..103
8/6 43.95 .621 ..104
7/30 ..43.80 .651 ..111
7/23 ..41.71 .637 ..109
7/16 ..41.30 .660 ..112
7/9 39.96 .648 ..108
7/2 38.39 .637 ..107
6/25 ..37.55 .637 ..107
6/18 ..39.00 .634 ..105
6/11 ..38.65 .610 99
6/4 38.49 .605 97
5/28 ..39.88 .604 98
5/21 ..39.93 .590 95
5/14 ..41.38 .609 98
5/7 39.93 .607 98
4/30 ..37.38 .604 ..103
4/23 ..36.46 .609 ..105
4/16 ..37.74 .614 ..106
4/9 37.14 .600 ..102
4/2 34.39 .589 ..101
3/26 ..35.73 .572 ..100
3/19 ..38.08 .590 ..105
3/12 ..36.19 .588 ..104
3/5 37.26 .604 ..109
2/27 ..36.16 .593 ..107
2/20 ..35.60 .581 ..104
2/13 ..34.56 .578 ..105
2/6 32.48 .561 99
1/30 ..33.05 .563 ..100
1/23 ..34.94 .577 ..102
1/16 ..35.07 .564 95
1/9 34.31 .565 98
1/2 32.52 .563 93

12/31/03 32.52 .562 .93

12/31/02 31.20 .446 .86

12/31/03-10/8/04

Oil ..+64%
XOI +28
OSX...+32

12/31/02-12/31/03

Oil ..+4%
XOI +26
OSX...+8

Of course earnings growth and expectations are still prime
factors in determining share prices, and thus the indexes as well
as the direction of crude itself.

Notes: Prices for 6/11 and 4/9 reflect the day before due to
Reagan funeral and Good Friday. Oil futures market closed
1/2/04, stocks open.

Sources: My own database, Yahoo Finance.

Wall Street History returns October 22.

Brian Trumbore